METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Mexico City, Mexico
21 Sept 2019
Lightweight
VS
96%
Puelles
4%
Mariano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Claudio PuelleswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marcos Mariano · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Puelles
→
Actual result
Puelles wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Puelles is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Puelles has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Risk flags
Puelles's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PuellesMariano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Puelles
Mariano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
30+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Puelles
Mariano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
2.4
45.5
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Puelles
Mariano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.3
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Puelles
Mariano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Puelles
Mariano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Puelles
Mariano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Puelles
Mariano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Puelles
Mariano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PuellesMariano
Strike Zones
Puelles
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMariano
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Puelles targets the head (88% of attacks) — Mariano absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Mariano targets the body (100% of attacks) — Puelles absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Puelles
RND
Mariano
0/0R00/0
Puelles · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerKO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · Sub · R3
Chris GruetzemacherSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Mariano · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R1
Lando VannataSubmission
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02