The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2013
Featherweight
VS
49%
Miller
51%
Palaszewski
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:23
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Palaszewski
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 49% vs Palaszewski at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Palaszewski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Palaszewski throws more volume but Miller connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller
Palaszewski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Palaszewski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
18.3
49.0
Performance Avg
46.0
47
Quality of Victory
60
49
Momentum Score
36
Miller
Palaszewski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
31%
Strike Accuracy
28%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
1
Body
2
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
5Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Miller
Palaszewski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Palaszewski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/53 fights
Miller
Palaszewski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Miller
Palaszewski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Palaszewski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MillerPalaszewski
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedPalaszewski
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Palaszewski absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Palaszewski targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Palaszewski
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Palaszewski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
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Palaszewski · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Cole MillerRating 1.5Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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