UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Aug 2013
Welterweight
VS
93%
Andrade
7%
Marunde
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Andrade
Andrade is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Marunde has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Andrade
Marunde
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Marunde
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.3
1.6
52.0
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
77
Momentum Score
0
Andrade
Marunde
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
11%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Andrade
Marunde
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Andrade
Marunde
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/26 fights
Andrade
Marunde
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
77
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Andrade
Marunde
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Marunde
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AndradeMarunde
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMarunde
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (75% of attacks) — Marunde absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Marunde
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Marunde · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Richard WalshRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Nicholas MusokeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
W · KO · R1
Bristol MarundeRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
Marunde · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Viscardi AndradeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · KO · R3
Clint HesterRating 4KO/TKO
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