METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
San Diego, USA
13 Dec 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
87%
Heath
13%
Valimaki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
David HeathwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Victor Valimaki · UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Heath
→
Actual result
Heath wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Heath is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Heath has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Striking split: Valimaki throws more volume but Heath connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Heath's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HeathValimaki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Heath
Valimaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
50
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Heath
Valimaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
2.1
39.7
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Heath
Valimaki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
1.2
28%
Strike Accuracy
26%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
14
3
Body
3
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance17
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Heath
Valimaki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Heath
Valimaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Heath
Valimaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Heath
Valimaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Heath
Valimaki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HeathValimaki
Strike Zones
Heath
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedValimaki
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Heath targets the head (44% of attacks) — Valimaki absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Valimaki targets the head (67% of attacks) — Heath absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Heath
RND
Valimaki
0/0R00/0
Heath · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Valimaki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Heath · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
L · Sub · R2
Renato SobralRating 2.8Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
W · Dec · R3
Victor ValimakiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
W · Sub · R1
Cory WalmsleyRating 5Submission
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
Valimaki · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
David HeathRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12