UFC 51: Super Saturday
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2005
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Ortiz
52%
Belfort
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Belfort
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 48% vs Belfort at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Belfort throws more volume but Ortiz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ortiz's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Belfort has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ortiz
Belfort
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
51
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ortiz
Belfort
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
21.9
57.3
Performance Avg
59.2
57
Quality of Victory
59
85
Momentum Score
91
Ortiz
Belfort
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Ortiz
Belfort
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortiz
Belfort
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/31 fights
Chin rating based on
26/40 fights
Ortiz
Belfort
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Ortiz
Belfort
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
87%
7
KO / TKO Wins
11
2
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Belfort
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.7
OrtizBelfort
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBelfort
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Belfort
0/0R00/0
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Belfort · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Belfort · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin GastelumUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05