METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Sao Paulo, Brazil
28 Oct 2017
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Golm
11%
Colombo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:08
★ Official Result
Marcelo GolmwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:08
def. Christian Colombo · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Golm
→
Actual result
Golm wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Golm is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Golm has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Golm has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GolmColombo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Golm
Colombo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
75"
Reach
33+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Golm
Colombo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
2.1
42.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Golm
Colombo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.1
58%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
1
1
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance1
8Clinch1
20Ground0
Golm
Colombo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Golm
Colombo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Golm
Colombo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
Golm
Colombo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Golm
Colombo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GolmColombo
Strike Zones
Golm
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedColombo
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Golm targets the head (91% of attacks) — Colombo absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Colombo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Golm absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Golm
RND
Colombo
0/0R00/0
Golm · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Colombo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Golm · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Dec · R3
Arjan BhullarRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Timothy JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
W · Sub · R1
Christian ColomboRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
Colombo · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Marcelo GolmRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Sub · R3
Luis HenriqueRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Upcoming
Jarjis DanhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09