METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2010
Middleweight
VS
10%
Forbes
90%
Jensen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:06
★ Official Result
Ryan JensenwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:06
def. Jesse Forbes · UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jensen
→
Actual result
Jensen wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Jensen is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Jensen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Forbes's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jensen has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ForbesJensen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Forbes
Jensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
41+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Forbes
Jensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.8
17.1
0.0
Performance Avg
42.4
0
Quality of Victory
54
0
Momentum Score
59
Forbes
Jensen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.1
27%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Forbes
Jensen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Forbes
Jensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
18
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/29 fights
Forbes
Jensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Forbes
Jensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Forbes
Jensen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
ForbesJensen
Strike Zones
Forbes
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedJensen
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Forbes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jensen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jensen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Forbes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Forbes
RND
Jensen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Forbes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Jensen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Forbes · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 1.5Submission
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · Dec · R3
Nick CatoneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
L · KO · R1
Matt HamillRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale · 2006-06
Jensen · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 1.5Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Sub · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.2Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R1
Jesse ForbesRating 5Submission
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mark MunozRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01
W · Sub · R1
Steve SteinbeissRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09