METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2010
Middleweight
VS
10%
Forbes
90%
Jensen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:06
★ Official Result
Ryan JensenwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:06
def. Jesse Forbes · UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jensen
→
Actual result
Jensen wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Jensen is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Risk flags
Forbes's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jensen has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ForbesJensen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Forbes
Jensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
41+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Forbes
Jensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.8
17.1
0.0
Performance Avg
42.4
0
Quality of Victory
54
0
Momentum Score
59
Forbes
Jensen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
7.8
0.0
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Forbes
Jensen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Forbes
Jensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
18
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/29 fights
Forbes
Jensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Forbes
Jensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Forbes
Jensen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
ForbesJensen
Strike Zones
Forbes
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedJensen
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Forbes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jensen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jensen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Forbes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Forbes
RND
Jensen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Forbes · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenSubmission
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · Dec · R3
Nick CatoneDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
L · KO · R1
Matt HamillKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale · 2006-06
Jensen · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jason MacDonaldSubmission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Sub · R3
Court McGeeSubmission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R1
Jesse ForbesSubmission
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mark MunozKO/TKO
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01
W · Sub · R1
Steve SteinbeissSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09