UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
London, United Kingdom
16 Oct 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Diabate
58%
Gustafsson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:41
CD
Cyrille Diabate
"The Snake"
19 – 10
6'6"81" reachSouthpaw52 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
AG
Alexander Gustafsson
"The Mauler"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded4-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gustafsson

This is a genuine toss-up — Diabate at 42% vs Gustafsson at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Diabate has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Diabate's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gustafsson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Diabate
Gustafsson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'5"
81"+
Reach
79"
52
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diabate
Gustafsson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
24.8
44.6
Performance Avg
50.3
41
Quality of Victory
47
68
Momentum Score
39
Diabate
Gustafsson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.2
75%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Diabate
Gustafsson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diabate
Gustafsson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/29 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Diabate
Gustafsson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Diabate
Gustafsson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Diabate
Gustafsson
Striking3.5 / 6.1Volume5.0 / 3.5Grappling3.2 / 2.3Wrestling2.2 / 1.6Submission2.5 / 2.0Pressure5.0 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Diabate
Strike Zones
Gustafsson
Diabate
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Gustafsson
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Diabate targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Diabate absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Diabate
RND
Gustafsson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Diabate · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W4.0L1.5L2010-052011-032012-042013-022014-03
WinLossTrend

Gustafsson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W1.5L5.2W5.0W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W7.3L5.1W1.5L5.5L5.1W5.9W4.5L4.5L1.5L2.7L2009-112011-122015-012019-062022-07
WinLossTrend

Diabate · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
L · R1
Jimi ManuwaRating 4
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Chad GriggsRating 5
Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Tom DeBlassRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R2
Anthony PeroshRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11

Gustafsson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05

News & Media

Cyrille Diabate · Alexander Gustafsson
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