UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2006
Heavyweight
VS
70%
Arlovski
30%
Cruz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:15
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
MC
Marcio Cruz
"Pe de Pano"
8 – 3
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox6'4"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Arlovski throws more volume but Cruz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Arlovski
Cruz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Cruz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
21.2
50.5
Performance Avg
52.9
47
Quality of Victory
55
94
Momentum Score
65
Arlovski
Cruz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
59%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Arlovski
Cruz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Cruz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Arlovski
Cruz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Arlovski
Cruz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
100%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Cruz
Striking5.0 / 6.0Volume5.3 / 1.0Grappling1.9 / 4.0Wrestling1.4 / 2.8Submission0.9 / 5.0Pressure5.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Cruz
Arlovski
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Cruz
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (71% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Cruz
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Cruz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.0W5.5L2.2L2005-102006-022006-042006-12
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Cruz · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2 · 2006-12
L · Dec · R3
Jeff MonsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
W · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Keigo KuniharaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Marcio Cruz
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