UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Featherweight
VS
50%
Ige
50%
Arce
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Dan
Dan Ige
"100K"
19 – 11
5'7"71" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Julio
Julio Arce
19 – 6
Well-Rounded36 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'7"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ige

This is a genuine toss-up — Ige at 50% vs Arce at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Arce throws more volume but Ige connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ige
Arce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
70"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ige
Arce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
49.4
46.3
Performance Avg
49.5
42
Quality of Victory
43
53
Momentum Score
65
Ige
Arce
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
36%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
25
3
Body
4
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance26
1Clinch2
0Ground1
Ige
Arce
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ige
Arce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/25 fights
Ige
Arce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Ige
Arce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ige
Arce
Striking5.6 / 6.2Volume4.7 / 3.9Grappling1.8 / 2.1Wrestling1.3 / 1.5Submission0.9 / 1.7Pressure5.4 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Ige
Strike Zones
Arce
Ige
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY7LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD4BODY0LEGS29 absorbed
Arce
Attacking
25HEAD4BODY0LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY7LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the head (41% of attacks) — Arce absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Arce targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ige
RND
Arce
0/0R00/0

Ige · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.2L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W6.0L5.6L6.8L5.5W5.2W6.5L5.7W6.8L7.0L6.6W5.5L2.7L2018-012020-052023-012025-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Arce · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W5.5W5.5L5.7W5.6L5.2W4.1L5.5W6.4L5.6W2018-012019-052021-112024-03
WinLossTrend

Ige · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

Arce · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Herbert BurnsRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Daniel SantosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · KO · R2
Andre EwellRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07

News & Media

Dan Ige · Julio Arce
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