METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Nashville, USA
8 Aug 2015
Lightweight
VS
5%
Christodoulou
95%
Holtzman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:40
★ Official Result
Scott HoltzmanwinsSubmissionR3 · 2:40
def. Anthony Christodoulou · UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holtzman
→
Actual result
Holtzman wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holtzman is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holtzman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Holtzman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Christodoulou's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holtzman has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChristodoulouHoltzman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Christodoulou
Holtzman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
Reach
69"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Christodoulou
Holtzman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.8
31.5
0.0
Performance Avg
40.6
0
Quality of Victory
32
0
Momentum Score
53
Christodoulou
Holtzman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.2
1.8
19%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
1
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance9
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Christodoulou
Holtzman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Christodoulou
Holtzman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
48
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/19 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Christodoulou
Holtzman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Christodoulou
Holtzman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Christodoulou
Holtzman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
ChristodoulouHoltzman
Strike Zones
Christodoulou
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedHoltzman
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Christodoulou targets the head (67% of attacks) — Holtzman absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Holtzman targets the head (64% of attacks) — Christodoulou absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Christodoulou
RND
Holtzman
0/0R00/0
Christodoulou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Holtzman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Christodoulou · Last 2
L · Sub · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Mairbek TaisumovRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
Holtzman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · R2
Dong Hyun MaRating 4.2UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08