UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
Fairfax, USA
11 Jan 2010
Lightweight
VS
49%
Dunham
51%
Escudero
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Escudero
This is a genuine toss-up — Dunham at 49% vs Escudero at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Escudero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Escudero connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Dunham's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Escudero has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dunham
Escudero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
44
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Dunham
Escudero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
16.8
40.1
Performance Avg
48.3
30
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
40
Dunham
Escudero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dunham
Escudero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dunham
Escudero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
12/40 fights
Dunham
Escudero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dunham
Escudero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dunham
Escudero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
DunhamEscudero
Strike Zones
Dunham
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedEscudero
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Escudero targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dunham
RND
Escudero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Escudero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
Escudero · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6Decision
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