UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
52%
Robertson
48%
Cachoeira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
This is a genuine toss-up — Robertson at 52% vs Cachoeira at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Cachoeira throws more volume but Robertson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Robertson's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cachoeira has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Robertson
Cachoeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
63"
Reach
+65"
31+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Robertson
Cachoeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
54.7
55.0
Performance Avg
46.6
45
Quality of Victory
52
74
Momentum Score
82
Robertson
Cachoeira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
17
3
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance18
2Clinch1
21Ground1
Robertson
Cachoeira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Robertson
Cachoeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/25 fights
Chin rating based on
14/21 fights
Robertson
Cachoeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
82
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Robertson
Cachoeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
80%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Robertson
Cachoeira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
RobertsonCachoeira
Strike Zones
Robertson
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedCachoeira
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Robertson targets the head (81% of attacks) — Cachoeira absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Cachoeira targets the head (85% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Robertson
RND
Cachoeira
0/0R00/0
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Cachoeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Cachoeira · Last 5
Upcoming
Chelsea ChandlerUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Klaudia SygulaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Joselyne EdwardsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Josiane NunesRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 4.9Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

