UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Omaha, USA
17 Sept 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Schafer
53%
Alexander
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:53
ES
Eric Schafer
"Red"
14 – 8
6'3"76" reachOrthodox48 yrs4-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 17
HA
Houston Alexander
"The Assassin"
17 – 15
Knockout Artist4-fight slide54 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alexander

This is a genuine toss-up — Schafer at 47% vs Alexander at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alexander has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Schafer's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alexander has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Schafer
Alexander
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
72"
48+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schafer
Alexander
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
18.4
46.9
Performance Avg
49.3
56
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
46
Schafer
Alexander
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
7
3
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance3
3Clinch4
21Ground5
Schafer
Alexander
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Schafer
Alexander
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
42
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/32 fights
Schafer
Alexander
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
46
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Schafer
Alexander
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Schafer
Alexander
Striking4.0 / 10.0Volume0.7 / 0.7Grappling5.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.7 / 0.0Submission6.7 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Schafer
Strike Zones
Alexander
Schafer
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Alexander
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Schafer targets the head (88% of attacks) — Alexander absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Alexander targets the head (58% of attacks) — Schafer absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Schafer
RND
Alexander
0/0R00/0

Schafer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W1.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2.8L2006-082008-092010-032012-01
WinLossTrend

Alexander · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L1.5L5.5L2007-052007-092007-112008-042008-092009-12
WinLossTrend

Schafer · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio MendesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01

Alexander · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin FergusonRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
L · Sub · R1
Eric SchaferRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 75: Champion vs Champion · 2007-09

News & Media

Eric Schafer · Houston Alexander
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