METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Omaha, USA
17 Sept 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Schafer
53%
Alexander
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:53
HA
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Eric SchaferwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:53
def. Houston Alexander · UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alexander
→
Actual result
Schafer wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Schafer at 47% vs Alexander at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Schafer's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alexander has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SchaferAlexander
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Schafer
Alexander
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
72"
48+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schafer
Alexander
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
18.4
46.9
Performance Avg
49.3
56
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
46
Schafer
Alexander
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
8.0
0.7
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
7
3
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance3
3Clinch4
21Ground5
Schafer
Alexander
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schafer
Alexander
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
42
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/32 fights
Schafer
Alexander
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
46
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Schafer
Alexander
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schafer
Alexander
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
SchaferAlexander
Strike Zones
Schafer
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedAlexander
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schafer targets the head (88% of attacks) — Alexander absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Alexander targets the head (58% of attacks) — Schafer absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schafer
RND
Alexander
0/0R00/0
Schafer · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonDecision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzDecision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio MendesKO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
Alexander · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin FergusonDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
L · Sub · R1
Eric SchaferSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
James IrvinKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraKO/TKO
UFC 75: Champion vs Champion · 2007-09