UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2009
Lightweight
VS
80%
Roop
20%
Kaplan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Roop
Roop is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Roop has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Striking split: Roop throws more volume but Kaplan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Roop's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roop
Kaplan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
72"
Reach
44+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Roop
Kaplan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.4
2.4
37.0
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
0
Momentum Score
0
Roop
Kaplan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
2
2
Body
4
2
Leg
11
RangeRange
19Distance16
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Roop
Kaplan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roop
Kaplan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Roop
Kaplan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Roop
Kaplan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roop
Kaplan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RoopKaplan
Strike Zones
Roop
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedKaplan
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roop targets the head (80% of attacks) — Kaplan absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Kaplan targets the legs (65% of attacks) — Roop absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roop
RND
Kaplan
0/0R00/0
Roop · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Kaplan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Roop · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Dustin KimuraRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
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Kaplan · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 5.5Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R2
Junie BrowningRating 2.8Submission
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