METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Featherweight
VS
70%
Barao
30%
Nover
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PN
CFR 7
★ Official Result
Renan BaraowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Phillipe Nover · UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barao
→
Actual result
Barao wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Barao is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Risk flags
Barao's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nover has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaraoNover
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barao
Nover
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+72"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barao
Nover
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
6.8
59.4
Performance Avg
20.7
64
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
0
Barao
Nover
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
0.4
4.6
Style: Volume
8.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
8
6
Body
4
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
12Distance10
4Clinch4
0Ground1
Barao
Nover
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barao
Nover
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/43 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Barao
Nover
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
0
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Barao
Nover
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barao
Nover
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
BaraoNover
Strike Zones
Barao
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedNover
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barao targets the head (56% of attacks) — Nover absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Nover targets the head (53% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barao
RND
Nover
0/0R00/0
Barao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
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Nover · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennDecision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Renan BaraoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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