UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2016
Bantamweight
VS
61%
Arantes
39%
Sanders
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arantes
Arantes holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Sanders has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Arantes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Arantes throws more volume but Sanders connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Arantes's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Arantes
Sanders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
72"
38+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arantes
Sanders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
11.5
43.8
Performance Avg
28.3
43
Quality of Victory
25
64
Momentum Score
40
Arantes
Sanders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
60%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Arantes
Sanders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
1.1
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arantes
Sanders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Arantes
Sanders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · R1
Arantes
Sanders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arantes
Sanders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
ArantesSanders
Strike Zones
Arantes
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSanders
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanders targets the head (100% of attacks) — Arantes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arantes
RND
Sanders
0/0R00/0
Arantes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Sanders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Arantes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Jerrod SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
Sanders · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Felipe ArantesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Russell DoaneRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
Upcoming
Pedro MunhozUFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
L · R1
Yosdenis CedenoRating 4UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07