UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Paris, France
2 Sept 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
40%
Oezdemir
60%
Guskov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:46
Volkan
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
21 – 8
6'2"75" reachOrthodox36 yrsStriker
CFR 51
Bogdan
Bogdan Guskov
"Hitman"
18 – 3
Knockout Artist4-fight win streak33 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 76

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guskov

Guskov holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Oezdemir has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Guskov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oezdemir
Guskov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Guskov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
75.8
50.8
Performance Avg
65.7
47
Quality of Victory
56
52
Momentum Score
100
Oezdemir
Guskov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
3.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
56%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
7
1
Body
1
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance8
1Clinch0
10Ground0
Oezdemir
Guskov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oezdemir
Guskov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
6/21 fights
Oezdemir
Guskov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Oezdemir
Guskov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oezdemir
Guskov
Striking6.7 / 9.1Volume3.8 / 1.6Grappling1.7 / 2.0Wrestling1.2 / 1.4Submission1.1 / 2.5Pressure6.3 / 9.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.4
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.6
Oezdemir
Strike Zones
Guskov
Oezdemir
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY6LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Guskov
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY6LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (73% of attacks) — Guskov absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Guskov targets the head (88% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oezdemir
RND
Guskov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Oezdemir · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.1W5.0W5.0W2.1L3.9L6.5L5.2W4.6W4.4L7.0L5.2W6.7L7.0W5.8W7.4L5.9W2017-022018-102020-072023-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Guskov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0102.3L5.0W5.7W6.8W6.2W2023-092024-022024-042025-012025-07
WinLossTrend

Oezdemir · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

Guskov · Last 5

Upcoming
Jan Blachowicz
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R2
Ryan SpannRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Zac PaugaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

News & Media

Volkan Oezdemir · Bogdan Guskov
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