METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Paris, France
2 Sept 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Oezdemir
58%
Guskov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:46
★ Official Result
Volkan OezdemirwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:46
def. Bogdan Guskov · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guskov
→
Actual result
Oezdemir wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Oezdemir at 42% vs Guskov at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guskov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OezdemirGuskov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oezdemir
Guskov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Guskov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
71.1
50.8
Performance Avg
60.3
47
Quality of Victory
56
52
Momentum Score
100
Oezdemir
Guskov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
8.8
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
9.0
3.8
Style: Volume
1.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
7
1
Body
1
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance8
1Clinch0
10Ground0
Oezdemir
Guskov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oezdemir
Guskov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Oezdemir
Guskov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Oezdemir
Guskov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oezdemir
Guskov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
OezdemirGuskov
Strike Zones
Oezdemir
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedGuskov
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (73% of attacks) — Guskov absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Guskov targets the head (88% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oezdemir
RND
Guskov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovDecision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Guskov · Last 5
L · KO · R5
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
Upcoming
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R2
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04