METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Featherweight
VS
76%
Holloway
24%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cole Miller · UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holloway is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowayMiller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
69"
Reach
+73"
34+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.9
17.6
57.7
Performance Avg
49.0
48
Quality of Victory
47
63
Momentum Score
49
Holloway
Miller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
7.2
4.8
Style: Volume
2.6
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
8
6
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
29Distance8
3Clinch1
1Ground0
Holloway
Miller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
7.0
2
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
20/32 fights
Holloway
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
49
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Holloway
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
80%
11
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
7
11
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
HollowayMiller
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMiller
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (79% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (89% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaDecision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresDecision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Upcoming
Jim AlersUFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Sub · R2
Sam SiciliaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01