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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
Las Vegas, USA
20 Nov 2021
Welterweight
VS
47%
Chiesa
53%
Brady
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Michael
Michael Chiesa
"Maverick"
207
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw38 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Sean
Sean Brady
192
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 57
★ Official Result
Sean BradywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michael Chiesa · UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brady
Actual result
Brady wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Chiesa at 47% vs Brady at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brady has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaBrady
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Chiesa
Brady
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
38
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Brady
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
57.4
53.3
Performance Avg
53.7
43
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
84
Chiesa
Brady
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
5.6
4.6
Style: Volume
6.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
7
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
4Clinch0
6Ground0
Chiesa
Brady
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
9
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
Brady
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Chiesa
Brady
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
84
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Chiesa
Brady
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
9
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chiesa
Brady
Striking1.4 / 1.6Volume4.6 / 6.1Grappling5.8 / 4.9Wrestling4.0 / 3.4Submission6.0 / 4.4Pressure6.3 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Chiesa
Strike Zones
Brady
Chiesa
Attacking
10HEAD7BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Brady
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD7BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (59% of attacks) — Brady absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Brady targets the head (100% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chiesa
RND
Brady
0/0R00/0

Chiesa · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Niko Price
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max Griffin
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony Ferguson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin Holland
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

Brady · Last 5

Upcoming
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · 2026-11
W · Dec · R3
Joaquin Buckley
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Michael Morales
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R4
Leon Edwards
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert Burns
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09

News & Media

Michael Chiesa · Sean Brady
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