UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
Las Vegas, USA
20 Nov 2021
Welterweight
VS
47%
Chiesa
53%
Brady
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Michael
Michael Chiesa
"Maverick"
20 – 7
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw38 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Sean
Sean Brady
19 – 2
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brady

This is a genuine toss-up — Chiesa at 47% vs Brady at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Brady has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brady has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Chiesa
Brady
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
38
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Brady
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
57.4
53.3
Performance Avg
53.7
43
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
84
Chiesa
Brady
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
7
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
4Clinch0
6Ground0
Chiesa
Brady
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.8
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
9
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
Brady
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Chiesa
Brady
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
84
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
Chiesa
Brady
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
9
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chiesa
Brady
Striking1.4 / 1.6Volume4.6 / 6.1Grappling5.8 / 4.9Wrestling4.0 / 3.4Submission6.0 / 4.4Pressure6.3 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Chiesa
Strike Zones
Brady
Chiesa
Attacking
10HEAD7BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Brady
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD7BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (59% of attacks) — Brady absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Brady targets the head (100% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chiesa
RND
Brady
0/0R00/0

Chiesa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W2.8L5.2W4.5W4.8L4.5W5.7W6.2W1.5L2.8L5.2W4.5W4.7W5.1W3.0L6.6L2.1L5.5W6.1W4.7W5.7W2012-062015-042019-072024-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Brady · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.7W5.0W5.2W6.5W5.3W3.8L5.8W4.7W6.5W3.6L5.7W2019-102021-032023-122025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Chiesa · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
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W · Sub · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

Brady · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R4
Leon EdwardsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

News & Media

Michael Chiesa · Sean Brady
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