UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Featherweight
VS
7%
Silva
93%
Naimov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Naimov
Naimov is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Naimov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Striking split: Naimov throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Naimov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Naimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Naimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.3
59.2
0.0
Performance Avg
51.4
0
Quality of Victory
38
0
Momentum Score
96
Silva
Naimov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
0.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
Naimov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Naimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Silva
Naimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
96
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Silva
Naimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Naimov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
SilvaNaimov
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedNaimov
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Naimov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Naimov
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Naimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Francis MarshallRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Muhammad NaimovRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 4Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Naimov · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mairon SantosRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Bogdan GradRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Kaan OfliRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Felipe LimaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Erik SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02