METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Featherweight
VS
8%
Silva
92%
Naimov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:44
★ Official Result
Muhammad NaimovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:44
def. Erik Silva · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Naimov
→
Actual result
Naimov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Naimov is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Naimov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Naimov has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaNaimov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Naimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Naimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.3
49.6
0.0
Performance Avg
47.8
0
Quality of Victory
38
0
Momentum Score
66
Silva
Naimov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
4.7
0.0
Style: Volume
6.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
Naimov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Naimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Silva
Naimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
66
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Silva
Naimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Naimov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
SilvaNaimov
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedNaimov
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Naimov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Naimov
0/0R00/0
Silva · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Francis MarshallSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Muhammad NaimovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Naimov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Losene KeitaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · KO · R3
Mairon SantosKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Bogdan GradDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Kaan OfliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Felipe LimaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06