METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Cummings
48%
Herman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:13
★ Official Result
Zak CummingswinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:13
def. Ed Herman · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cummings
→
Actual result
Cummings wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cummings at 52% vs Herman at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CummingsHerman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cummings
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
42+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cummings
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
38.7
53.3
Performance Avg
47.4
41
Quality of Victory
44
63
Momentum Score
82
Cummings
Herman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
6.4
4.6
Style: Volume
3.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
5
6
Body
2
7
Leg
7
RangeRange
32Distance13
0Clinch0
3Ground1
Cummings
Herman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
4
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cummings
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Cummings
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
82
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cummings
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
69%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cummings
Herman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
CummingsHerman
Strike Zones
Cummings
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedHerman
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cummings targets the head (63% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cummings
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cummings · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Ed HermanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin GilesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldDecision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05