UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Cummings
48%
Herman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:13
ZC
Zak Cummings
25 – 7
6'0"75" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 43
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cummings

This is a genuine toss-up — Cummings at 52% vs Herman at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Cummings throws more volume but Herman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cummings
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
41+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cummings
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
38.7
53.3
Performance Avg
47.4
41
Quality of Victory
44
63
Momentum Score
82
Cummings
Herman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
5
6
Body
2
7
Leg
7
RangeRange
32Distance13
0Clinch0
3Ground1
Cummings
Herman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cummings
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Cummings
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
82
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cummings
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
69%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cummings
Herman
Striking3.4 / 4.1Volume4.6 / 3.5Grappling4.2 / 3.8Wrestling2.9 / 2.7Submission4.0 / 3.9Pressure6.3 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Cummings
Strike Zones
Herman
Cummings
Attacking
22HEAD6BODY7LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY7LEGS14 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY7LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD6BODY7LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cummings targets the head (63% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cummings
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cummings · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W3.8L5.0W4.8W6.0L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.7W5.5L4.5W5.7W2013-082016-042018-052020-082023-04
WinLossTrend

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Cummings · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Zak Cummings · Ed Herman
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