METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Heavyweight
VS
40%
Schaub
60%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brendan SchaubwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lavar Johnson · UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Schaub wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Schaub has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Schaub's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SchaubJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Schaub
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
78"
Reach
+82"
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schaub
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
23.3
49.2
Performance Avg
56.0
46
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
79
Schaub
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
5.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
64%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch3
7Ground3
Schaub
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schaub
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Schaub
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Schaub
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schaub
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
SchaubJohnson
Strike Zones
Schaub
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schaub targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (86% of attacks) — Schaub absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schaub
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Schaub · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Schaub · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 5Submission
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lavar JohnsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · KO · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
Johnson · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Brendan SchaubRating 5.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Joey BeltranRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01