METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Heavyweight
VS
40%
Schaub
60%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brendan SchaubwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lavar Johnson · UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Schaub wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Schaub has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Schaub's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SchaubJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Schaub
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
78"
Reach
+82"
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schaub
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
23.3
49.2
Performance Avg
56.0
46
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
79
Schaub
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
8.5
3.8
Style: Volume
1.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch3
7Ground3
Schaub
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schaub
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Schaub
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Schaub
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schaub
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
SchaubJohnson
Strike Zones
Schaub
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schaub targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (86% of attacks) — Schaub absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schaub
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Schaub · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneKO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Matt MitrioneSubmission
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lavar JohnsonDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · KO · R1
Ben RothwellKO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
Johnson · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Brendan SchaubDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Stefan StruveSubmission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Joey BeltranKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01