UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
31%
Souza
69%
Lemos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:39
LS
Livinha Souza
"The Brazilian Gangsta"
14 – 4
5'3"63" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
Amanda
Amanda Lemos
15 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'4"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lemos

Lemos holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Souza has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lemos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lemos has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Souza
Lemos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
63"
Reach
+65"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Souza
Lemos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.7
56.2
40.8
Performance Avg
49.6
35
Quality of Victory
43
63
Momentum Score
85
Souza
Lemos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
56%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
22
0
Body
3
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
1Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground17
Souza
Lemos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Lemos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
48
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Souza
Lemos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Souza
Lemos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
56%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Souza
Lemos
Striking1.0 / 4.5Volume6.3 / 4.8Grappling4.3 / 2.8Wrestling3.0 / 2.0Submission3.3 / 2.2Pressure3.8 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Souza
Strike Zones
Lemos
Souza
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD3BODY4LEGS29 absorbed
Lemos
Attacking
22HEAD3BODY4LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lemos targets the head (76% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Souza
RND
Lemos
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Souza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W2.6L5.5L2018-092019-022019-072020-082021-032021-10
WinLossTrend

Lemos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L5.0W5.3W5.0W5.0W4.6W2.3L5.2W5.9W7.3L5.7W2.8L5.4W7.4L6.7L2017-072021-072022-112025-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Souza · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Amanda LemosRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Brianna FortinoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Sarah FrotaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Lemos · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R2
Virna JandirobaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Livinha Souza · Amanda Lemos
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