METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2021
Heavyweight
VS
40%
Sakai
60%
Tuivasa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:26
★ Official Result
Tai TuivasawinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:26
def. Augusto Sakai · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tuivasa
→
Actual result
Tuivasa wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Tuivasa holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Sakai has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Sakai's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tuivasa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SakaiTuivasa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sakai
Tuivasa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Sakai
Tuivasa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.5
43.2
44.4
Performance Avg
50.4
37
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
20
Sakai
Tuivasa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
9.6
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
7.5
5.9
Style: Volume
1.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
10
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance8
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Sakai
Tuivasa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sakai
Tuivasa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
0
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Sakai
Tuivasa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Sakai
Tuivasa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
88%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sakai
Tuivasa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
SakaiTuivasa
Strike Zones
Sakai
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTuivasa
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sakai targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sakai
RND
Tuivasa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sakai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
Tuivasa · Last 5
Upcoming
Robelis DespaigneUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03