UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
San Jose, USA
19 Nov 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Bonnar
50%
Kingsbury
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SB
Stephan Bonnar
"The American Psycho"
15 – 9
6'4"79" reachOrthodox49 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
KK
Kyle Kingsbury
"Kingsbu"
11 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bonnar

This is a genuine toss-up — Bonnar at 50% vs Kingsbury at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bonnar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bonnar's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bonnar
Kingsbury
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
79"
Reach
79"
49
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonnar
Kingsbury
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
16.5
45.2
Performance Avg
38.0
40
Quality of Victory
34
48
Momentum Score
74
Bonnar
Kingsbury
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Bonnar
Kingsbury
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bonnar
Kingsbury
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
9/17 fights
Bonnar
Kingsbury
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
74
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Bonnar
Kingsbury
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bonnar
Kingsbury
Striking3.6 / 3.4Volume5.1 / 6.9Grappling3.2 / 1.8Wrestling2.2 / 1.3Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.1 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Bonnar
Strike Zones
Kingsbury
Bonnar
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Kingsbury
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bonnar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Kingsbury absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Kingsbury targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bonnar absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bonnar
RND
Kingsbury
0/0R00/0

Bonnar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.2W7.3L5.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W1.5L2005-042006-062009-012010-122012-10
WinLossTrend

Kingsbury · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L1.9L4.8L5.5L2008-122011-022012-052014-07
WinLossTrend

Bonnar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

Kingsbury · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 4.8
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06

News & Media

Stephan Bonnar · Kyle Kingsbury
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