UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Nov 2016
Bantamweight
VS
56%
Perez
44%
Arantes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EP
Erik Perez
"Goyito"
17 – 6
5'8"68" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 22
FA
Felipe Arantes
"Sertanejo"
18 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'8"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Perez

This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 56% vs Arantes at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Perez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arantes has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Perez
Arantes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+73"
36+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Arantes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.3
17.8
54.6
Performance Avg
43.8
39
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
64
Perez
Arantes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
9
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance11
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Perez
Arantes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Perez
Arantes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/28 fights
Perez
Arantes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
64
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Perez
Arantes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perez
Arantes
Striking4.4 / 2.9Volume6.1 / 4.1Grappling2.5 / 4.2Wrestling1.8 / 2.9Submission1.4 / 4.0Pressure5.3 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Perez
Strike Zones
Arantes
Perez
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Arantes
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Arantes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Arantes targets the head (75% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Perez
RND
Arantes
0/0R00/0

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W4.5W4.5W2012-062013-082015-112016-11
WinLossTrend

Arantes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W6.2L5.0W5.2W5.5L5.6L4.1L2011-082013-092015-082017-102018-06
WinLossTrend

Perez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Felipe ArantesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Sub · R2
Bryan CarawayRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Edwin FigueroaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11

Arantes · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Jerrod SandersRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08

News & Media

Erik Perez · Felipe Arantes
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