METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Middleweight
VS
50%
Whittaker
50%
Cannonier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Robert WhittakerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jared Cannonier · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Whittaker
→
Actual result
Whittaker wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 50% vs Cannonier at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cannonier has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WhittakerCannonier
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Whittaker
Cannonier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+77"
35+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Whittaker
Cannonier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.0
53.5
56.6
Performance Avg
48.2
46
Quality of Victory
46
71
Momentum Score
82
Whittaker
Cannonier
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
6.0
6.3
Style: Volume
4.0
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
5
0
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance6
0Clinch4
6Ground0
Whittaker
Cannonier
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Cannonier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Whittaker
Cannonier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
82
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
Whittaker
Cannonier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
64%
7
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Whittaker
Cannonier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
WhittakerCannonier
Strike Zones
Whittaker
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedCannonier
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cannonier targets the head (50% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Whittaker
RND
Cannonier
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Whittaker · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevSubmission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06