UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Middleweight
VS
50%
Whittaker
50%
Cannonier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Jared
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18 – 9
Striker42 yrsSwitch77" reach5'11"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Whittaker

This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 50% vs Cannonier at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Whittaker throws more volume but Cannonier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cannonier has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Whittaker
Cannonier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+77"
35+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Whittaker
Cannonier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
54.3
56.0
Performance Avg
49.3
46
Quality of Victory
46
71
Momentum Score
82
Whittaker
Cannonier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
5
0
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance6
0Clinch4
6Ground0
Whittaker
Cannonier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Cannonier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
22
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Whittaker
Cannonier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Whittaker
Cannonier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
64%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Cannonier
Striking5.0 / 7.5Volume6.6 / 4.0Grappling1.6 / 0.9Wrestling1.1 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Whittaker
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Cannonier
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cannonier targets the head (50% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker
RND
Cannonier
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5W5.7L2.1L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.5W4.8W6.9L5.3W4.7L5.5W6.7W3.4L6.5L2012-122015-052018-062022-092025-07
WinLossTrend

Cannonier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0101.5L5.0W4.8W5.9L5.5W6.1L2.5L5.2W5.0W6.1W6.4L4.8W5.5W6.9L5.6W5.3W4.8L6.9L7.0W6.3L2015-012017-122020-102023-062025-08
WinLossTrend

Whittaker · Last 5

Upcoming
Nikita Krylov
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Cannonier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Jared Cannonier
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