UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Rio Rancho, USA
15 Feb 2020
Bantamweight
VS
30%
Kenney
70%
Dvalishvili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CK
Casey Kenney
16 – 4
5'7"68" reachSouthpaw35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
Merab
Merab Dvalishvili
"The Machine"
21 – 5
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dvalishvili

Dvalishvili is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kenney has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Kenney
Dvalishvili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
35
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kenney
Dvalishvili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
60.4
43.5
Performance Avg
53.2
31
Quality of Victory
34
55
Momentum Score
100
Kenney
Dvalishvili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
1
Body
1
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
7Distance12
0Clinch1
0Ground7
Kenney
Dvalishvili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kenney
Dvalishvili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Kenney
Dvalishvili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Kenney
Dvalishvili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kenney
Dvalishvili
Striking1.3 / 2.4Volume7.7 / 8.5Grappling3.5 / 2.6Wrestling2.5 / 1.8Submission2.0 / 0.7Pressure3.3 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Kenney
Strike Zones
Dvalishvili
Kenney
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY5LEGS20 absorbed
Dvalishvili
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY5LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kenney targets the head (86% of attacks) — Dvalishvili absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Dvalishvili targets the head (70% of attacks) — Kenney absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kenney
RND
Dvalishvili
0/0R00/0

Kenney · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W6.8L5.0W5.1W5.3W5.5L6.8L2019-032020-022020-102021-032021-08
WinLossTrend

Dvalishvili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.7L4.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.0W6.0W6.0W5.8W6.8W6.0W7.0L2017-122020-062023-032025-102025-12
WinLossTrend

Kenney · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Dominick CruzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
W · Sub · R1
Louis SmolkaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05

Dvalishvili · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 6
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

News & Media

Casey Kenney · Merab Dvalishvili
← Back to fights