UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen
Boston, USA
17 Aug 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
25%
Donovan
75%
Preux
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Preux
Preux is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Donovan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Donovan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Donovan's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Preux has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Donovan
Preux
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
74"
Reach
+80"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Donovan
Preux
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
46.7
46.0
Performance Avg
50.2
60
Quality of Victory
48
22
Momentum Score
72
Donovan
Preux
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.2
1.3
62%
Strike Accuracy
48%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
8
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
9Clinch0
0Ground6
Donovan
Preux
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Donovan
Preux
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
28/45 fights
Donovan
Preux
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Donovan
Preux
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
73%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
5
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Donovan
Preux
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
DonovanPreux
Strike Zones
Donovan
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPreux
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Donovan targets the body (80% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Preux targets the head (100% of attacks) — Donovan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Donovan
RND
Preux
0/0R00/0
Donovan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Preux · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Donovan · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Nick PennerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06