UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Featherweight
VS
76%
Hooper
24%
Colares
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hooper
Hooper is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hooper has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Hooper throws more volume but Colares connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hooper
Colares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
69"
26+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hooper
Colares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
16.4
51.8
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
51
Momentum Score
30
Hooper
Colares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
4Clinch1
24Ground0
Hooper
Colares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hooper
Colares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Hooper
Colares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hooper
Colares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hooper
Colares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
HooperColares
Strike Zones
Hooper
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedColares
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hooper targets the head (100% of attacks) — Colares absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Colares targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hooper
RND
Colares
0/0R00/0
Hooper · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Colares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Hooper · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 2.9KO/TKO
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Colares · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Chase HooperRating 4.8KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Luke SandersRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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