UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
58%
Alexander
42%
Jardine
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:48
HA
Houston Alexander
"The Assassin"
17 – 15
6'0"72" reachOrthodox54 yrs4-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 18
KJ
Keith Jardine
"The Dean of Mean"
17 – 11
Well-Rounded4-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alexander

This is a genuine toss-up — Alexander at 58% vs Jardine at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alexander has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Alexander has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alexander's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jardine has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Alexander
Jardine
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+76"
54
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alexander
Jardine
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
13.3
49.3
Performance Avg
40.0
60
Quality of Victory
36
46
Momentum Score
48
Alexander
Jardine
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
13Clinch2
3Ground0
Alexander
Jardine
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alexander
Jardine
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Alexander
Jardine
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
48
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Alexander
Jardine
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alexander
Jardine
Striking10.0 / 4.3Volume0.7 / 6.3Grappling0.0 / 1.6Wrestling0.0 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Alexander
Strike Zones
Jardine
Alexander
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Jardine
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alexander targets the head (82% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Jardine targets the head (80% of attacks) — Alexander absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alexander
RND
Jardine
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Alexander · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L1.5L5.5L2007-052007-092007-112008-042008-092009-12
WinLossTrend

Jardine · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5L1.5L4.0L5.5L2005-112006-122008-102010-06
WinLossTrend

Alexander · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin FergusonRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
L · Sub · R1
Eric SchaferRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 75: Champion vs Champion · 2007-09

Jardine · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10

News & Media

Houston Alexander · Keith Jardine
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