METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Glendale, USA
14 Apr 2018
Middleweight
VS
46%
Boetsch
54%
Junior
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:28
AC
Antonio Carlos Junior
"Cara de Sapato"
11 – 5
Submission Hunter3-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'2"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Antonio Carlos JuniorwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:28
def. Tim Boetsch · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Junior
→
Actual result
Junior wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Boetsch at 46% vs Junior at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BoetschJunior
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Boetsch
Junior
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+79"
45
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Junior
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
19.1
46.0
Performance Avg
55.3
43
Quality of Victory
53
69
Momentum Score
41
Boetsch
Junior
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.6
57%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
23
1
Body
4
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
7Distance20
0Clinch2
0Ground9
Boetsch
Junior
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.4
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Junior
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
13/16 fights
Boetsch
Junior
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
41
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Boetsch
Junior
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
71%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
5
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Boetsch
Junior
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.1
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
BoetschJunior
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedJunior
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (57% of attacks) — Junior absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Junior targets the head (74% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Boetsch
RND
Junior
0/0R00/0
Boetsch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Junior · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
Junior · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Uriah HallRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Sub · R1
Tim BoetschRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · Sub · R1
Jack MarshmanRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10