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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 76: Knockout
Anaheim, USA
22 Sept 2007
Heavyweight
VS
86%
Wellisch
14%
Junk
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:19
CW
Christian Wellisch
"The Hungarian Nightmare"
85
6'2"77" reachOrthodox50 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
SJ
Scott Junk
83
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox6'1"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Christian WellischwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:19
def. Scott Junk · UFC 76: Knockout

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Wellisch
Actual result
Wellisch wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Wellisch is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wellisch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Risk flags

Wellisch's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WellischJunk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Wellisch
Junk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
50
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wellisch
Junk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
2.5
39.7
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Wellisch
Junk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.8
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
4
Body
3
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
0Distance5
6Clinch12
0Ground0
Wellisch
Junk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wellisch
Junk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
1/11 fights
Wellisch
Junk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Wellisch
Junk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wellisch
Junk
Striking0.8 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Wellisch
Strike Zones
Junk
Wellisch
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY6LEGS17 absorbed
Junk
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY6LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wellisch targets the body (67% of attacks) — Junk absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Junk targets the head (47% of attacks) — Wellisch absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wellisch
RND
Junk
0/0R00/0

Wellisch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jake O'Brien
Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R1
Shane Carwin
KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
W · Sub · R1
Scott Junk
Submission
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Perosh
Decision
UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2 · 2006-12
L · KO · R1
Cheick Kongo
KO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08

Junk · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Christian Wellisch
Submission
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09

News & Media

Christian Wellisch · Scott Junk
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