UFC 76: Knockout
Anaheim, USA
22 Sept 2007
Heavyweight
VS
86%
Wellisch
14%
Junk
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:19
CW
Christian Wellisch
"The Hungarian Nightmare"
8 – 5
6'2"77" reachOrthodox50 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
SJ
Scott Junk
8 – 3
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox6'1"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wellisch

Wellisch is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wellisch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Junk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Wellisch's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Wellisch
Junk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
50
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wellisch
Junk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
2.5
39.7
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Wellisch
Junk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
6.8
26%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
4
Body
3
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
0Distance5
6Clinch12
0Ground0
Wellisch
Junk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wellisch
Junk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
1/11 fights
Wellisch
Junk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Wellisch
Junk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wellisch
Junk
Striking0.8 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Wellisch
Strike Zones
Junk
Wellisch
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY6LEGS17 absorbed
Junk
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY6LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wellisch targets the body (67% of attacks) — Junk absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Junk targets the head (47% of attacks) — Wellisch absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wellisch
RND
Junk
0/0R00/0

Wellisch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L5.5L2006-082006-122007-092008-052009-01
WinLossTrend

Wellisch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jake O'BrienRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R1
Shane CarwinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
W · Sub · R1
Scott JunkRating 5
Submission
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PeroshRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2 · 2006-12
L · KO · R1
Cheick KongoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08

Junk · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Christian WellischRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09

News & Media

Christian Wellisch · Scott Junk
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