UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Welterweight
VS
48%
Martin
52%
Moraes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AR
Anthony Rocco Martin
17 – 6
6'0"73" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
SM
Sergio Moraes
"The Panther"
14 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moraes

This is a genuine toss-up — Martin at 48% vs Moraes at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Moraes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Martin's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moraes has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Martin
Moraes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
36+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Martin
Moraes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
19.0
45.3
Performance Avg
47.0
35
Quality of Victory
37
65
Momentum Score
95
Martin
Moraes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.0
37%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
1
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance4
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Martin
Moraes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Martin
Moraes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Martin
Moraes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
95
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Martin
Moraes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Martin
Moraes
Striking2.3 / 2.5Volume5.6 / 5.2Grappling4.0 / 4.2Wrestling2.8 / 2.9Submission3.3 / 3.8Pressure4.9 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
Martin
Strike Zones
Moraes
Martin
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Moraes
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Martin targets the head (71% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Moraes targets the head (75% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Martin
RND
Moraes
0/0R00/0

Martin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L3.7L5.0W2.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5W6.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.1L2014-022016-012018-042019-062020-06
WinLossTrend

Moraes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W2.6L4.6W5.2W5.5L4.2L4.0L2012-062015-122018-022019-11
WinLossTrend

Martin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12

Moraes · Last 5

L · KO · R3
James KrauseRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

News & Media

Anthony Rocco Martin · Sergio Moraes
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