UFC: Silva vs Irvin
Las Vegas, USA
19 Jul 2008
Welterweight
VS
45%
Burns
55%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
This is a genuine toss-up — Burns at 45% vs Johnson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Burns's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Burns
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+78"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burns
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.6
23.1
45.8
Performance Avg
60.4
50
Quality of Victory
55
59
Momentum Score
100
Burns
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
36%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
1
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance6
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Burns
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Burns
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/19 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Burns
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Burns
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
85%
1
KO / TKO Wins
11
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burns
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
BurnsJohnson
Strike Zones
Burns
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burns targets the legs (73% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burns
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Burns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
L · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 4KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
W · Sub · R2
Roan CarneiroRating 5.2Submission
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05