Joe Stevenson vs Gleison Tibau — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin

Las Vegas, USA

5 Jul 2008

Lightweight

56%

Stevenson

44%

Tibau

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 2:57

Joe Stevenson

"Daddy"

33 – 16

5'7"70" reachOrthodox44 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 20

Gleison Tibau

33 – 14

Well-Rounded4-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"

CFR 15

★ Official Result

Joe StevensonwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:57

def. Gleison Tibau · UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Stevenson

→

Actual result

Stevenson wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Stevenson at 56% vs Tibau at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Stevenson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Risk flags

Stevenson's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

StevensonTibau

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Stevenson

Tibau

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"

Height

+5'10"

70"

Reach

+71"

Age

+42

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Stevenson

Tibau

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

19.6

15.4

49.2

Performance Avg

43.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Stevenson

Tibau

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.3

/ 10

1.8

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

3.9

4.0

Style: Volume

6.6

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance3

0Clinch0

0Ground1

Stevenson

Tibau

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.9

/ 10

3.6

/ 10

2.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.5

3.8

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Stevenson

Tibau

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.7 stoppage

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

16/49 fights

Chin rating based on

28/47 fights

Stevenson

Tibau

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

L · R1

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Stevenson

Tibau

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

31%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stevenson

Tibau

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.8

3.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.6

2.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.5

3.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.9

4.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.6

Stevenson

Strike Zones

Tibau

Stevenson

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Tibau

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Stevenson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Tibau targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stevenson

RND

Tibau

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Stevenson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Javier Vazquez

Decision

UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06

L · Dec · R3

Danny Castillo

Decision

UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03

L · KO · R1

Mac Danzig

KO/TKO

UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12

L · Dec · R3

George Sotiropoulos

Decision

UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

W · KO · R2

Spencer Fisher

KO/TKO

UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Desmond Green

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06

L · KO · R1

Islam Makhachev

KO/TKO

UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01

L · R1

Abel Trujillo

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11

L · Sub · R1

Tony Ferguson

Submission

UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02

W · Dec · R3

Norman Parke

Decision

UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Joe Stevenson · Gleison Tibau

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