UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi
St. Louis, USA
14 Jan 2018
Featherweight
VS
39%
Stephens
61%
Choi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:36
CFR 70
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Choi
Choi holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Stephens has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Choi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Choi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stephens's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Choi has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Stephens
Choi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stephens
Choi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.0
70.4
41.1
Performance Avg
60.7
40
Quality of Victory
57
76
Momentum Score
100
Stephens
Choi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
10
4
Body
1
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
22Distance14
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Stephens
Choi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stephens
Choi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/52 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Stephens
Choi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
100
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
Stephens
Choi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stephens
Choi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
StephensChoi
Strike Zones
Stephens
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedChoi
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stephens targets the head (70% of attacks) — Choi absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Choi targets the head (71% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stephens
RND
Choi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Stephens · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Choi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 2.2Submission
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Choi · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Daniel SantosRating 6.3KO/TKO
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