UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Sydney, Australia
18 Nov 2017
Heavyweight
VS
44%
Hamilton
56%
Wieczorek
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wieczorek
This is a genuine toss-up — Hamilton at 44% vs Wieczorek at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hamilton has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hamilton's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hamilton
Wieczorek
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"
Height
6'5"
76"
Reach
+81"
46
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hamilton
Wieczorek
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
20.5
40.0
Performance Avg
49.0
47
Quality of Victory
37
72
Momentum Score
83
Hamilton
Wieczorek
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.8
63%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
14
5
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance15
4Clinch6
0Ground0
Hamilton
Wieczorek
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hamilton
Wieczorek
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Hamilton
Wieczorek
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
83
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Hamilton
Wieczorek
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hamilton
Wieczorek
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
HamiltonWieczorek
Strike Zones
Hamilton
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedWieczorek
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hamilton targets the body (56% of attacks) — Wieczorek absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Wieczorek targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hamilton absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hamilton
RND
Wieczorek
0/0R00/0
Hamilton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Wieczorek · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Hamilton · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Adam WieczorekRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Daniel SpitzRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Marcel FortunaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · Sub · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Damian GrabowskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Wieczorek · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 6.1Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · Sub · R2
Arjan BhullarRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Anthony HamiltonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11