UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Toronto, Canada
30 Apr 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Matyushenko
53%
Brilz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brilz
This is a genuine toss-up — Matyushenko at 47% vs Brilz at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Brilz throws more volume but Matyushenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Matyushenko's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brilz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Matyushenko
Brilz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
71"
55
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Matyushenko
Brilz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
15.2
47.3
Performance Avg
38.1
40
Quality of Victory
35
20
Momentum Score
63
Matyushenko
Brilz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Matyushenko
Brilz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Matyushenko
Brilz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
52
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/35 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Matyushenko
Brilz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Matyushenko
Brilz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matyushenko
Brilz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
MatyushenkoBrilz
Strike Zones
Matyushenko
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBrilz
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matyushenko targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brilz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Matyushenko absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matyushenko
RND
Brilz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Matyushenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Brilz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Matyushenko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Jason BrilzRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
Alexandre FerreiraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
Brilz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09