UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Aug 2018
Featherweight
VS
47%
Swanson
53%
Moicano
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:15
Cub
Cub Swanson
31 – 14
5'8"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Renato
Renato Moicano
21 – 7
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moicano

This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 47% vs Moicano at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Swanson
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
50.3
48.8
Performance Avg
51.7
40
Quality of Victory
43
56
Momentum Score
64
Swanson
Moicano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.9
56%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
8 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
14
3
Body
2
12
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance8
0Clinch2
0Ground7
Swanson
Moicano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Swanson
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
64
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Swanson
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
62%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swanson
Moicano
Striking6.2 / 2.1Volume5.2 / 3.8Grappling1.2 / 5.0Wrestling0.8 / 3.5Submission0.0 / 5.4Pressure5.3 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Swanson
Strike Zones
Moicano
Swanson
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY12LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Moicano
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY12LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (82% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Swanson
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Swanson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.2W5.2W6.4W5.8W5.5W5.0W4.0L5.1L4.5W4.5W6.3W4.5W3.5L5.5L2.3L5.5L5.3W6.1W2.5L5.5W3.3L4.6W6.2L6.7W5.7W2011-112014-112018-042022-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Moicano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.4L5.0W5.5W3.2L2.0L5.0W2.5L6.0W6.1W5.7L5.0W5.7W6.5W5.9W3.5L6.5L6.4W2014-122018-082021-062024-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Swanson · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

Moicano · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Cub Swanson · Renato Moicano
← Back to fights