METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Aug 2018
Featherweight
VS
47%
Swanson
53%
Moicano
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:15
★ Official Result
Renato MoicanowinsSubmissionR1 · 4:15
def. Cub Swanson · UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moicano
→
Actual result
Moicano wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 47% vs Moicano at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SwansonMoicano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Swanson
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
50.3
48.8
Performance Avg
51.7
40
Quality of Victory
43
56
Momentum Score
64
Swanson
Moicano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
6.3
5.2
Style: Volume
3.8
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
14
3
Body
2
12
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance8
0Clinch2
0Ground7
Swanson
Moicano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.4
0
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Swanson
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
21/28 fights
Swanson
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
64
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
Swanson
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
62%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swanson
Moicano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
SwansonMoicano
Strike Zones
Swanson
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedMoicano
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (82% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swanson
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrKO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Moicano · Last 5
Upcoming
Brian OrtegaUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09