METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Mexico City, Mexico
21 Sept 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
57%
Carnelossi
43%
Hill
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Angela HillwinsR3 · 1:56
def. Ariane Carnelossi · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Carnelossi
→
Actual result
Hill wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Carnelossi at 57% vs Hill at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Carnelossi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Carnelossi's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CarnelossiHill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Carnelossi
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'3"
61"
Reach
+64"
33+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carnelossi
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.7
36.1
42.6
Performance Avg
36.8
43
Quality of Victory
30
52
Momentum Score
40
Carnelossi
Hill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
2.4
0.9
Style: Volume
7.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
14
2
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance14
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Carnelossi
Hill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carnelossi
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
48
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Carnelossi
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Carnelossi
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carnelossi
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
CarnelossiHill
Strike Zones
Carnelossi
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedHill
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carnelossi targets the head (69% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (88% of attacks) — Carnelossi absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carnelossi
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
Carnelossi · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ketlen SouzaKO/TKO
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Talita AlencarSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
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W · Sub · R3
Istela NunesSubmission
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Hill · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Xiong JingnanDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoDecision
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
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