METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Hamburg, Germany
3 Sept 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
38%
Bader
62%
Latifi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:06
★ Official Result
Ryan BaderwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:06
def. Ilir Latifi · UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Latifi
→
Actual result
Bader wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Latifi holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Bader has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Bader throws more volume but Latifi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bader's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Latifi has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaderLatifi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bader
Latifi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bader
Latifi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
32.6
54.2
Performance Avg
48.4
40
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
33
Bader
Latifi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Bader
Latifi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bader
Latifi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Bader
Latifi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Bader
Latifi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
56%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bader
Latifi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
BaderLatifi
Strike Zones
Bader
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedLatifi
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bader targets the head (100% of attacks) — Latifi absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Latifi targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bader
RND
Latifi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bader · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Latifi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Bader · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 4.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
Latifi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08