UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Bantamweight
VS
51%
Yanez
49%
Marcos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yanez
This is a genuine toss-up — Yanez at 51% vs Marcos at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Yanez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Yanez throws more volume but Marcos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Yanez's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Yanez
Marcos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Yanez
Marcos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
61.0
57.7
Performance Avg
54.9
52
Quality of Victory
36
84
Momentum Score
83
Yanez
Marcos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
2.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
60%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
17
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance15
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Yanez
Marcos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Yanez
Marcos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Yanez
Marcos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
83
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Yanez
Marcos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
40%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yanez
Marcos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
YanezMarcos
Strike Zones
Yanez
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedMarcos
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yanez targets the head (93% of attacks) — Marcos absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Marcos targets the head (94% of attacks) — Yanez absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yanez
RND
Marcos
0/0R00/0
Yanez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Marcos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Yanez · Last 5
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W · Sub · R2
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W · Dec · R3
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