UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Newark, USA
27 Apr 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
30%
Villante
70%
Preux
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 0:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Preux
Preux is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Villante throws more volume but Preux connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Preux has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Villante
Preux
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+80"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Villante
Preux
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
46.7
40.8
Performance Avg
50.2
42
Quality of Victory
48
33
Momentum Score
72
Villante
Preux
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Villante
Preux
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Preux
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
28/45 fights
Villante
Preux
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
72
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Villante
Preux
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
73%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
Preux
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
VillantePreux
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPreux
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Preux targets the head (100% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
Preux
0/0R00/0
Villante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Preux · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06