METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
61%
Silva
39%
Bonnar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:40
★ Official Result
Anderson SilvawinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:40
def. Stephan Bonnar · UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Silva holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Bonnar has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bonnar has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaBonnar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Bonnar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+79"
51
Age
+49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Bonnar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.5
16.5
71.6
Performance Avg
45.2
72
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
48
Silva
Bonnar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.0
63%
Strike Accuracy
43%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
11 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
9
4
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance6
10Clinch6
5Ground0
Silva
Bonnar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Bonnar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/45 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Silva
Bonnar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
48
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Silva
Bonnar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
50%
11
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Bonnar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
SilvaBonnar
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedBonnar
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (79% of attacks) — Bonnar absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Bonnar targets the head (75% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Bonnar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Bonnar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Uriah HallRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 4.8Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel CormierRating 5.5Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Bonnar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02