METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Las Vegas, USA
21 Jun 2008
Middleweight
VS
52%
Lister
48%
Horn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:52
★ Official Result
Dean ListerwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:52
def. Jeremy Horn · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lister
→
Actual result
Lister wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lister at 52% vs Horn at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Horn has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Horn has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ListerHorn
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lister
Horn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
50
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lister
Horn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
18.9
50.4
Performance Avg
48.1
40
Quality of Victory
49
75
Momentum Score
78
Lister
Horn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.8
31%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Lister
Horn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lister
Horn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
16
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/20 fights
Chin rating based on
13/113 fights
Lister
Horn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
78
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Lister
Horn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lister
Horn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
ListerHorn
Strike Zones
Lister
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHorn
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lister targets the head (83% of attacks) — Horn absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Horn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lister absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lister
RND
Horn
0/0R00/0
Lister · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Horn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Lister · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · 2008-12
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy HornRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RadevRating 4.5Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Dec · R3
Yuki SasakiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08
Horn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Dean ListerRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11