UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
19 Feb 2022
Featherweight
VS
49%
Pearce
51%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
This is a genuine toss-up — Pearce at 49% vs Rodriguez at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pearce has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Pearce throws more volume but Rodriguez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pearce's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pearce
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
71"
Reach
71"
34
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Pearce
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.8
46.2
47.4
Performance Avg
40.7
42
Quality of Victory
31
56
Momentum Score
64
Pearce
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
9
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance8
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Pearce
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pearce
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Pearce
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
64
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Pearce
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearce
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
PearceRodriguez
Strike Zones
Pearce
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearce targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pearce absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearce
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Pearce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Pearce · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniRating 2.5Submission
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Rodriguez · Last 5
Upcoming
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