METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
19 Feb 2022
Featherweight
VS
45%
Pearce
55%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jonathan PearcewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Christian Rodriguez · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Pearce wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pearce at 45% vs Rodriguez at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Pearce's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PearceRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pearce
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
71"
Reach
71"
34
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Pearce
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.8
55.0
47.4
Performance Avg
44.8
42
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
90
Pearce
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
4.1
4.3
Style: Volume
6.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
9
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance8
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Pearce
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pearce
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Pearce
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
90
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Pearce
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearce
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
PearceRodriguez
Strike Zones
Pearce
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearce targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pearce absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearce
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Pearce · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniSubmission
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L · Sub · R2
Joanderson BritoSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniKO/TKO
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Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Hyder AmilSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
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Melquizael CostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin BashiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Sub · R1
Julian ErosaSubmission
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