UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Nov 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
84%
Grasso
16%
Clark
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alexa
Alexa Grasso
17 – 5
5'5"66" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 59
HC
Heather Clark
"Hurricane"
7 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'6"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Grasso

Grasso is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Grasso has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Striking split: Grasso throws more volume but Clark connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Grasso
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
66"+
Reach
64"
32+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grasso
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
11.3
52.8
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
84
Momentum Score
33
Grasso
Clark
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
8
Body
6
10
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance10
6Clinch1
4Ground0
Grasso
Clark
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grasso
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Grasso
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Grasso
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Grasso
Clark
Striking2.4 / 0.7Volume6.6 / 8.7Grappling3.4 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Grasso
Strike Zones
Clark
Grasso
Attacking
9HEAD8BODY10LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD6BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Clark
Attacking
4HEAD6BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD8BODY10LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Grasso targets the legs (37% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 37% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the body (55% of attacks) — Grasso absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Grasso
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0

Grasso · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5L4.5W3.4L4.5W5.8L4.5W5.5W5.2W5.2W6.7W6.9L7.0L6.0W2016-112019-062022-032025-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Clark · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W5.5L6.7L2014-122016-052016-11
WinLossTrend

Grasso · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Maycee BarberRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Valentina Shevchenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Sub · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Clark · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Alexa GrassoRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Bec RawlingsRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12

News & Media

Alexa Grasso · Heather Clark
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