UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Lightweight
VS
58%
Felder
42%
Cruickshank
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:56
PF
Paul Felder
"The Irish Dragon"
17 – 6
5'11"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
DC
Daron Cruickshank
"Detroit Superstar"
18 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsSwitch72" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Felder

This is a genuine toss-up — Felder at 58% vs Cruickshank at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Felder has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cruickshank has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Felder
Cruickshank
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Felder
Cruickshank
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
15.9
49.0
Performance Avg
44.5
42
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
48
Felder
Cruickshank
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
1
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
5Clinch1
11Ground0
Felder
Cruickshank
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Felder
Cruickshank
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
48
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Felder
Cruickshank
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
48
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Felder
Cruickshank
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Felder
Cruickshank
Striking5.6 / 6.0Volume4.8 / 5.0Grappling2.0 / 1.2Wrestling1.4 / 0.8Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Felder
Strike Zones
Cruickshank
Felder
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Cruickshank
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Felder targets the head (82% of attacks) — Cruickshank absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Cruickshank targets the head (50% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Felder
RND
Cruickshank
0/0R00/0

Felder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W6.0L5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W6.7W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.4L5.7L2014-102016-012017-072019-092020-11
WinLossTrend

Cruickshank · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W3.7L1.5L4.0L2012-062013-072014-052015-032016-01
WinLossTrend

Felder · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

Cruickshank · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Paul FelderRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
James KrauseRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Sub · R2
Beneil DariushRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
Upcoming
KJ Noons
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · Dec · R3
Anthony NjokuaniRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

News & Media

Paul Felder · Daron Cruickshank
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